New Orleans Saints (3) 13-3 vs Detroit Lions (6) 10-6
Saints QB Drew Brees broke the NFL record for passing yards this season with 5476. Matthew Stafford of the Lions wasn’t too far behind as he threw for 5038, the fourth highest output in NFL history. Both defenses were in the bottom-third of the league for stopping the pass, so it looks like Stafford and Brees will have free range to throw the ball in this game. With weapons like Calvin Johnson (1681 yards, 16 touchdowns) and Jimmy Graham (1310 yards, 11 touchdowns) to throw to, it kind of makes their running games obsolete.
This will be the second time this year that the Saints and Lions have squared off. During week 13 of the regular season, the Saints defeated the Lions 31-17. Matthew Stafford threw for 408 yards, but only scored 1 touchdown. Brees finished with 342 yards, 3 touchdowns and no interceptions. If you want any sort of hint as to how this wild card game will play out, just look at their week 13 match-up.
Fun Fact: RB Darren Sproles of the New Orleans Saints set an NFL record this season for all-purpose yards with 2696. He is the first player in NFL history to have 1300 yards from scrimmage and 1300 yards from kickoff and punt returns.
Big Question: Will either the Saints or Lions defense step up and be a factor in this game?
Final Pick: The Saints were a perfect 8-0 at home during the regular season and I don’t see that streak coming to an end against the Lions. The Saints are hungry to get back to the Super Bowl after their huge upset loss to the Seahawks during last years NFC wild card game. A hungry Saints team is a scary thing. Drew Brees is on such a hot streak right now that I would have to be pretty ballsy to pick against him. In the last 7 games of the season, Brees threw for 25 touchdowns and just 3 interceptions. After watching the Lions defense give up 480 yards and 6 touchdowns to a backup quarterback to end the season, I just can’t put my faith in them to stop one of the greatest of all-time in Drew Brees. I love Matthew Stafford and what he has done to reinvigorate the Detroit Lions offense, but it’s too hard to pick against Brees with the way he has been playing. Stafford’s moment in the sun will come, it just won’t be on Saturday against the Saints. I’ll pick New Orleans in a high scoring affair. Final Score: Saints 38, Lions 27
Atlanta Falcons (5) 10-6 vs New York Giants (4) 9-7
Preview: It may have taken until the final game of the regular season to clinch a berth, but the New York Giants are back in the playoffs for the first time since 2009. They will now face an Atlanta Falcons team that just posted its fourth consecutive winning season and its third playoff appearance in the last four years. Atlanta’s offense possesses arguably the best running back (Michael Turner: 1340 yards, 11 touchdowns) and wide receiver (Roddy White: 100 catches – best in the NFC) in the entire conference. Matt Ryan is coming off a season in which he set the franchise record for most passing yards with 4177. The trio of Turner, White and Ryan combined to lead the Falcons to the tenth-best offensive attack in the NFL.
Eli Manning had the best statistical season of his career finishing just shy of 5000 yards with 4933, as well as throwing for 29 touchdown passes. The once dominant Giants running game finished dead-last in the league, with neither Brandon Jacobs or Ahmad Bradshaw rushing for more than 700 yards or 4 yards a carry. The wide receiver tandem of Victor Cruz and Hakeem Nicks combined for 2728 yards and 16 touchdowns, which is even more impressive considering both players missed games this year.
Fun Fact: Eli Manning set a NFL record this season with 15 fourth-quarter touchdown passes. The previous record was held by his older brother Peyton Manning.
Big Question: Which Eli Manning (the leader or the turnover king) will show up on Sunday?
Final Pick: I would usually say that a home-field advantage is a factor in big games like this, but the Giants weren’t very good at home (4-4) and the Falcons weren’t that good on the road (4-4). The Giants run defense (which only finished 19th in the league) has improved quite a bit over the last quarter of the season and should keep Michael Turner in check. “Burner” Turner was never the kind of back that could break off the long run, but he can be effective in keeping the Giants offense off the field. This game has the potential to be full of scoring as neither team finished better than 20th in the league for pass defense. The Giants rushing game is untrustworthy at this point, so I expect to see a lot of Eli Manning. Manning has Super Bowl experience on his resume while “Matty Ice” last playoff game was a 48-21 drubbing by the Packers where he threw for 2 interceptions and only 186 yards. Despite that, I would think the Falcons offense will take some chances with Ryan in getting the ball to White and rookie Julio Jones down the field. This wild card game can go either way, but I like the Giants to emerge with the narrow victory. I don’t trust Matt Ryan in a high pressure situation just yet. I’ll go with the guy who has a ring on his finger. Final Score: Giants 27, Falcons 24